Tom Dwan is going BROKE
Mike matesow says that Tom Dwan is going broke. I agree. But first for all you that don't knwo Mike is a good player he jsut runs bad and get emotional about it. The reason he lost so much online was becasue of Russ Hamilton. I assuming everyone knows who he is and what he has done. What mike said in "mouth peice" was that he would lend 50k and they would play HU on UB back when Mike played there. And at the time Russ was usiong the Super user account. Mike lost like 2 million. As well his famiily took his computer away because he lost so much money. For those who don't know mike is a consitant winner. Winning 1M in 08 and in 07. He aint like DWan who loses 3 mil here and wins 2 mill here. Dwan stratagy is high variance and he could go broke fast. He lost liek 1 million to Ivey in a HU PLO game. The thing is looking at the biggest pots in the Durrrr challange , some of the pots Dwan won were suckouts. Like Patrick would flop a set vs Dwan's nut flush draw and pair of aces, and gets a spade on the spade on the turn and wins.
Dwan is up 140k after 4k hands tho.
In addition Daniel himself has quoted " If Phil Ivey were to start, it’d be Dwan’s last Challenge. He’s barking up the wrong tree.”
He will propably lose his bankroll or maybe jsut a lot of money. Mike has said he did hte same before, thinking he was the best.
The main point is Tom dwans success is a temporary thing before the odds start playing out and his suckouts stop. I saw him go all in on the turn with a OESD and hit it on the river vs top pair aces.
Or a hand when he was playing David Ben.. (i dono how to spell his name) Where dvid had set of four and Dwan had top pair Jacks ace kicker. ANd David raised over the top 2 times. This guy still called with nothing but top pair.
What he is doing is basicly saying "I don't give a ***** i'm going all in..i'm tom Dwan" people fear maniacs and play tight vs him. That's why Patrick Antonius lost many more hands but profited mroe for hands he did win.
WHen Ivery gets to Dwan, i say it is over. When you have two super agressive guys, bluffs tend to be harder. And Ivery has the advantage, Dwan just has ignoreance.
Consider the play at NBC HU when he played Hellmuth
AA vs 1010. Hellmuth limped liek he always does on the button, dwan raise with 1010 and phil re rasies, dwan shoves.
I mean, it's jsut reckless play with high varience which so far he has avoided...sorta.
He is down like 1million or more not sure.
I think we need to focus on the bread and butter of poker Brunson, Negranu, hellmuth, Matesow, Farha :),
These plays always win, and hardly do you see them record huge losees, at least online.
I think we should really stop giving attenion to Tom "going broke" Dwan. Because he is an example of those kinds of people who win pots with huge swings. UP or DOWN. You might as well play blackjack and bet half you bankroll everytime.
Bottom line, i think for people whjo want ot become good players watching Dwan is a bad example he may handle the swings but when they get really big. He'll be playing with you again at NL 2 cent 4 cent.
thanks for the read.