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8 comments
U12 Muck?: calls 60
U12 Muck?: discards 1 card
U12 Muck?: checks
U12 Muck?: raises 480 to 540
He may have been drawing to a straight of flush and hit, but if he hit the value is not there to check and hope someone will bet, so a straight or flush is not likely. If he "Always" dose that he will more often then not get checked down. I feel the person probably had a week 2 pair and with your week bet he felt he had a better 2 pair and wanted to get some more in the pot. He sure could have had a monster, but I'm not sure. And the big reason there is no way to be sure is that your bet was so small.
Just my opinion.
In five draw the odds of any player getting a straight are some thing like 1 in 254 and the odds of getting a flush are ,I think , 1 in 506 0r 508.
He can't have higher trips then you, and like you said" he only took one card on the draw, so he was either trying for one of those really long shots, or more likely he had two pair. A full house in 5 draw is worth a lotttttt more then 480.
The minute I saw the trip aces I would have been playing it like a HUGE MONSTER, hell, in 5 draw it IS A HUGE MONSTER!
OK Im going to go take a nap and reread this and see if it makes any more sense to me LOL
You wayyy underbet after the draw, and you should have dumped that king, too. Your odds of hitting another pair to fill a boat are better than your odds of getting a second king. And had you bet bigger, you'd have put your opponent in a situation where if he missed his draw, he'd have to make an even bigger bluff to knock you off your hand -- so he probably folds with a miss and raises if he completed his straight or flush or hit his boat.
Sure, go ahead and try to deceive opponents about the nature of your hand once in a while, but be wary of cases where it will seriously hurt your chances of improving.