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One for the odds freaks out there....

Sep 28, 2008 10:43 am Report Abuse

I wasn't involved in the hand, so I didn't think to get a screen shot of it and can't find it in my hand history right now ....but anyway

Mid stage of a low buy in tourny...chips stacks at the table ranged from about 3k to 10k

One hand...this guy pushes all in with about 6k in chips...gets 3 callers, including the large and small stacks...

They turn over QQ, KK, AA, and mr short stack shows J 10.
The flop is Q K A.

Now....what are the odds of all three flopping trips...and stuck hoping for thier fourth or a double runner to get a four way split? Just curious if anyone knows. Turn and River, btw, didn't help anyone.


7 comments


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mystic_bob Sep 28, 2008 11:14 am
wow that is just crazy

those are the longest odds ever i bet a royal is more likely...
Fraggles Sep 28, 2008 11:39 am

Skitts what you been smokin tonight, that didn't happen, LOL j/k That is one CRAZY hand for sure, just the odds of having the three top pocket pairs is crazy enough, phew

Supertramp77 Sep 28, 2008 11:56 am
lets try to calculate it to answer your qestion:
if we assume that the chance for one guy with his pocket is appr. 2:44x3 [2outs, 44cards left, 3cards to deal on the flop) we come to 13,6% for one of them. because there are three holding a pocket the chance should be 13,6%^3= almost exactly 1:400 that all of them hit on the board. (1:397 to be exactly)
but this does not include the guy who flopped the straight...but ...that was not your question...
skittles Sep 28, 2008 2:38 pm
that is my question supertramp...the odds of all four hitting like that.
freakyfish00 Sep 28, 2008 3:58 pm
Yeah thats crazy

Like my HH from awhile back
Mine was Live though

http://www.railbirds.com/blog/152366/unreal-hand-live-game.html
topcat1954 Sep 28, 2008 4:11 pm

I believe the correct odds of this hand happening would be 1 in a bunch, a whole big bunch, and have no clue how to calculate them ! I would bet a nickle though, that you never see this happen again, even at Full Tilt or Poker Stars...lol..

....Tc...

DarkOdin Sep 28, 2008 4:14 pm

1 in 2.7 billion

oh wait thats quads vs a royal


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